This is Turov on Timing for Thursday, October 27, 2011.
The SPX advanced 12.95 points yesterday to close at 1242.00. TOT daily traders went 200% long shortly after the opening and closed out the position on the SPX 1242 close.
Since initiation of the Turov on Timing service on September 30, 1993, our daily trader recommendations have gained 12567.39 cumulative SPX points, compared to a gain of 783.07 points in the index itself over the same period. That’s a ratio of 16.05 to one.
The super long term perspective for the stock market remains bearish (as it has been since January 2000 after having been bullish from December 1974 until then). When the current cyclical bull market ends (and at present, it is quite possible that it has already ended, the major doubt factors being the upcoming presidential election, the European debt crisis, and the Congressional budget battles), expect another nasty crash to perhaps finally bring an end to the long term bear market that began in 2000.
After only two days in negative territory, the Intermediate Term Model has upticked from bearish to bullish, where it is likely to stay for quite some time. The odds strongly favor the SPX reaching 1300 prior to 1200. Breaking 1000 on the downside will probably ultimately come – but not this year. Repeating, the Intermediate Term Model is now bullish.
The daily model is inconclusive right now as some data seems corrupted. No recommendation for the nonce, and I’ll update as soon as I’m confident in the accuracy of the data.
Thanks for the opportunity to be of service, and I will update again as soon as possible.
Turov on Timing is Copyright © 2011 by Turov Investment Group Inc. All rights reserved. Turov on Timing is for personal use only. All caveats and advisories that appear in the monthly Turov on Timing apply equally to this email. Re-publication and distribution is strictly prohibited. No part may be reproduced without the permission of the Turov Investment Group Inc. All recommendations are based on the Standard & Poor’s cash index (SPX) which cannot be directly traded and Turov Investment Group Inc. makes no recommendation or suggestion to readers as to how SPX-based recommendations should be traded but rather leaves that to the discretion of each individual reader. The “official” price of the opening and closing SPX is as reported at www.bigcharts.com and may not be consistent with futures or ETF prices. All stop recommendations are based on that “official” price. Any recommendation that is to take place at a specific time is basis the “opening” on a one minute bar chart beginning at that time and ending one minute later. All times mentioned are Eastern. Questions related to this service should be directed to InvestmentAdvice@aol.com.