The SPX advanced 9.12 points yesterday to close at 1972.83. TOT daily traders went 300% long at SPX 1964 on Tuesday and have carried the position overnight
twice and into today.
Since initiation of the Turov on Timing service on September 30, 1993, our daily trader recommendations have gained 14078.42 cumulative SPX points, compared
to a gain of 1513.90 points in the index itself over the same period. That’s a ratio of 9.30 to one. (Please note that any day in which the daily model
fails to outperform the SPX by at least a ratio of 9.30 to one, since that’s the ratio of outperformance already achieved, that ratio will decline. In an
advancing market it will therefore almost always decline, and in a declining market it will almost always advance.)
(The commentary in this paragraph last updated April 15, 2014) The super long term perspective for the stock market remains bearish (as it has been since
January 2000 after having been bullish for over 25 years, from December 1974 until then). I continue to expect the market to suffer more pain before the
primary bear market is over, some years in the future (best guess: 2017 or 2018), at or below about the same Dow Jones 11,000 area as it traded in January
2000. I expect to see our new 2016-elected President have some very serious problems during his or her term in office.
(The commentary in this paragraph last updated June 23, 2014.) The Intermediate Term Model is bearish. Even as the market makes nominal new highs, serious
internal market divergences lend evidence to the probability that the bulls will soon be steers (although goring some ranchers in protest in the interim).
The daily model is bullish today. TOT daily traders come into today’s session 300% long. Maintain the sell stop at SPX 1957. If still long as we approach
the close, sell the position on the close and simultaneously go 200% short, carrying the short position overnight and into tomorrow. It is a certainty that
tomorrow’s daily model reading will be bearish, regardless what the market does today.
Thanks for the opportunity to be of service, and I’ll email you again in about 24 hours – or sooner if circumstances warrant.
Turov on Timing is Copyright © 2014 by Turov Investment Group Inc. All rights reserved. Turov on Timing is for personal use only. All caveats and
advisories that appear in the monthly Turov on Timing apply equally to this email. Re-publication and distribution is strictly prohibited. No part may be
reproduced without the permission of the Turov Investment Group Inc. All recommendations are based on the Standard & Poor’s cash index (SPX) which cannot be
directly traded and Turov Investment Group Inc. makes no recommendation or suggestion to readers as to how SPX-based recommendations should be traded but
rather leaves that to the discretion of each individual reader. The “official” price of the opening and closing SPX is as reported at www.bigcharts.com and
may not be consistent with futures or ETF prices. All stop recommendations are based on that “official” price. Any recommendation that is to take place at
a specific time is basis the “opening” on a one minute bar chart beginning at that time and ending one minute later. All times mentioned are Eastern.
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